1. Current situation and key levels
- BTC Price: ~$94,823 (trading range: $94,248 – $95,472).
- Trend: Correction after recent growth, but the overall bullish trend remains, especially considering macroeconomic factors (expected easing of US Federal Reserve monetary policy).
2. Support and resistance levels
- Support:
- $94,248 (minimum of the current day).
- $93,782 (level from the last 2 days).
- Resistance:
- $95,472 (maximum of the current day).
- $96,305 (forecast for April 30).
- Historical maximum: $110,000 (breakthrough possible with increased liquidity).
3. Trading scenarios
Scenario 1: Buy on correction
- Condition: If the price drops to $94,000–$93,500.
- Action: Buy with targets:
- $95,500 (short-term take profit).
- $96,300–$97,000 (medium-term target).
- Stop-loss: $92,600 (below the local minimum).
Scenario 2: Breakthrough resistance
- Condition: Fixing above $95,500.
- Action: Buy more with targets of $96,300–$97,000.
- Risk management: Stop-loss below $94,800.
Scenario 3: Deep correction
- Condition: Drop below $92,600 (risk of increased selling).
- Action: Expect testing of $90,000–$89,500 (liquidation levels).
- Potential buy: On rebound from $89,500 with confirmation of recovery.
4. Factors affecting the price
- Macroeconomics: Federal Reserve statements on rates (easing expected by June).
- Policy: Actions of the Trump administration (support for BTC reserves and ETF).
- Technical indicators:
- RSI: Neutral (no overbought/oversold).
- Volumes: Accumulation by large players above $90,000.
5. Recommendations
- Short-term traders: Use the range of $94,000–$95,500 for scalping.
- Medium-term investors: Accumulate on corrections to $93,000–$94,000 with targets of $100,000+.
- Stop-loss: Mandatory for all scenarios (1–3% of position).
Conclusion
Today's plan is focused on using the local correction for purchases aiming for growth to $96,000–$97,000. Key risks are macroeconomic instability and possible liquidation of positions at levels below $92,600. Consider the high volatility of BTC and correlation with NASDAQ/S&P 500.
For operational updates, follow news on ETFs and statements from the Federal Reserve.
