#加密市场反弹 Why did Bitcoin soar today? Three reasons:
1️⃣ Japanese listed company Metaplanet bought another 330 bitcoins, spending 28 million dollars, institutions are still hoarding!
2️⃣ US stock S&P 500 rose before the market, driving the crypto market to cheer together.
3️⃣ Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of 106 million USD yesterday, new funds are entering the market.#特朗普税改
Simply put: institutions buy buy buy + US stocks set the pace + ETF funds flow back, three waves boost the big coin to take off!
Do you think liquidation is due to market volatility? Wrong! It's you who pressed the 'self-destruct button'. After reading this, you'll realize that all your past operations were actively seeking death.#ProSharesTrustXRPETF
$BTC 1. Leverage is not the killer, position size is
Fatal misconception: "100x leverage = high risk"
The truth: 100x leverage + 1% position = actual risk = 1x leverage full position
Case study: a professional trader used 50x leverage, but single position ≤ 0.5%, no liquidation for 3 consecutive years, annualized return over 300%
$ETH 2. Stop loss is not surrender, but 'resurrection armor'
During the 2024 May 19 crash, the common point of 83% of liquidated accounts: losses over 10% still holding on
Single loss ≤ 1% of capital (institutional-level standard), equivalent to equipping the account with a 'blast shield'
3. Profit without increasing position = wasted effort
Wrong operation: ran after making a profit, resulting in missing a 10x market
Correct strategy:
Initial position 5% (trial and error)
For every 10% profit, reinvest 20% of the profits (compound interest snowball)
Case study: 2024 SOL market, rolling from 50,000 capital to 500,000 in just 2 months
Institutional-level risk control model (internal private placement outflow)
1. Dynamic position calculation formula
Maximum position = (capital × 1%) / (stop loss margin × leverage multiplier)
Example: 100,000 capital, 1% stop loss, 20x leverage → maximum position = 1,000 yuan
2. Three-step take profit method (maximize profits)
① Profit 15% → Close 30% (lock in profits)
② Profit 30% → Rebalance 30% (reduce risk)
③ Remaining position → Move stop profit (exit when breaking 4-hour EMA)
3. Hedging insurance strategy
When holding positions, buy Put options with 0.5% of capital (can recover 50% loss in extreme conditions)
April 2024 Black Swan, this strategy helped a major player avoid a 2 million liquidation
The top 3 behaviors with the highest liquidation probabilities (have you fallen for them?)
"Just hold on a little longer" type → Holding a position for 4 hours, the liquidation probability skyrockets to 92%
"Frequent trading" type → Average 100 trades a month, fees eat away 20% of capital
"Want to earn more after making a profit" type → 83% of accounts turn profits into losses due to greed
The essence of trading: a mathematical game, not gambling
Profit formula:
Expected value = (win rate × average profit) - (loss rate × average loss)
If you can do this:
Stop loss 1%, take profit 10%
A win rate of only 25% can achieve stable profits
Secrets of professional traders:
Single loss ≤ 1%
Annual trades ≤ 15 times (waiting for big opportunities)
Profit-loss ratio ≥ 5:1
Ultimate survival rule
Each loss ≤ 1% (absolute red line)
70% of the time in cash (patiently waiting for opportunities)
Only engage in high risk-reward ratio trades (missing out is not regrettable)
The market does not reward diligent people, but those who can wait. Establish a mechanical trading system, let rules replace emotions, and you will truly break free from the liquidation curse.
