#亚利桑那比特币储备
🔮 Tonight's Trend Prediction
1. Bitcoin
• Technical Analysis:
o Support Level: 93,500U (4-hour EMA30 + On-chain liquidation zone), breaking below looks to 92,000U;
o Resistance Level: 96,000U (previous high + CME gap fill), must hold to push to 97,500U.
• Scenario:
o If US stocks open down (Nasdaq has already dropped 0.1%), Bitcoin may drop towards 93,500-94,000;
o But with the Arizona bill passing + institutional buying support, funds will definitely enter below 93k, a rapid drop may offer a chance to buy at a bargain!
• Long Position: Buy on the dip at 93,500U, add to position at 92,500U, target 94,500-95,500U, cut loss if below 92k!
• Short Position: Short at 95,800-96,200U, stop loss at 96,500U, target 94k-93.5k (take profit quickly).
2. Ethereum
• Core Conflict: New low in exchange rate + capital drain, only follows down, not up!
o Support: 1,720U (daily MA30), breaking below may spike down to 1,680U (pledge liquidation zone);
o Strategy: Sell in batches on rebound to 1,800-1,820U, lightly buy on rapid drop to 1,720U.
o Only play rebounds: Buy near 1,720U, stop loss at 1,690U, quick in and out!
3. Altcoins:
• SOL: Correlates with Bitcoin but with larger fluctuations, high sell and low buy in the 145-155U grid, cut loss if below 140U;
• SUI: Clear selling by the whale at high positions, buy on the low below 3.5U, take profit in batches above 3.8U, stop loss at 3.3U (high-risk warning!).
🚨 Tonight's Risk Bomb
1. Whale Dumping: BTC has dense orders above 95k, SUI whale suspected to be fleeing;
2. Policy Variables: The new SEC chairman may target altcoins (especially SUI, XRP);
