$BTC $ETH ETH whale $1700 180 million explosives! How do we layout tonight?

$1700 bull-bear meat grinder starts! Is Ethereum tonight a desperate counterattack or a head chopping? Remember! When others are fearful, I am greedy; those who rush in now are either geniuses or fuel!

I. Latest news, three major bombshells!

1. ETH's two-hour line is staging a life-and-death tug-of-war at $1800! Below, layers of buy orders are piled up at 1722-1741, seemingly the main force's "anti-explosion shield", but the market surprisingly shows a $721 "tombstone line".

2. On-chain tracking reveals that a flash crash was triggered by a trading program malfunction at a certain exchange, quickly rebounding after a spike—veterans understand this is a violent washout by the market makers! Above, $1800 is pressing against the 5-day/10-day moving averages (340,000/490,000 trading volume levels), and the recent three attempts to surge have all been shot back to their original form.

3. More critically, on-chain monitoring detected 35,000 ETH being transferred in batches to Binance in the early morning, combined with Coinbase's premium turning negative, clearly indicating that large holders are stockpiling ammunition in preparation for a market dump!

II. Three major mountains of technical indicators!

1. MACD feigned a strike: DIF (-0.12) crossed above DEA (-0.38) seemingly forming a golden cross, but the MACD bar is only 0.26, weaker than paper! Historical data speaks: a true rebound requires the MACD bar to break 0.5 and DIF to turn positive; now it’s purely a consolation for the retail investors.

2. Volume reveals the trick: current two-hour trading volume is 72,000, less than a quarter of the 5-day average volume (320,000), yet net inflow on-chain exchanges surged by 25%. I’m familiar with this script—retail investors panic withdraw, institutions quietly accumulate, classic calm before the storm!

3. News front is a tale of ice and fire: Vitalik just announced the progress of the EIP-4844 upgrade, and immediately the US CFTC is rumored to crack down on DeFi derivatives, causing Bitcoin to crash the whole market. Now the market sentiment index has dropped to 23 (extreme fear), and the bulls' fuel is running out quickly!

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Remember! When others are fearful, I am greedy; those who rush in now are either geniuses or fuel!