I see many people, when talking about coins, start with its various backgrounds, technology, the founding team's resume, the problems it solves, and who it collaborates with, etc.
Then upon seeing this fundamental, you think it’s particularly good. When you ask others, they all say it’s very good too. So you buy in, but you lose money.
Studying fundamentals is an extremely profound topic. It requires hard work. Making money from this aspect is not impossible, but it is very difficult.
The fundamental reports written in a seller's market are generally optimistic. The information you obtain is certainly biased.
Fundamental research must include the dimension of time for the profit effect to gradually appear.
Short-term profit actions based on long-term fundamental profit models is one of the biggest contradictions.
If you study the fundamentals and make money in the short term, I can say for sure that it is not brought by the fundamentals, but by short-term market sentiment.
The core worth studying about value investing for ordinary people is the dimension of time and their own ability to make money, not the company's fundamentals.
The stronger your ability to make money off-market, the lower the weight you can place on the valuation of investment assets. It doesn’t matter if you buy a bit expensive, you can afford it.
If you take the wrong path, making money will be very difficult.
Because the market can be extremely irrational at times, sometimes prices are terrifyingly high, and sometimes they are terrifyingly low.
If you have money, you can endure this irrational period. Losing money is mostly due to a period of irrational market conditions.
Generally, you cannot penetrate the fundamentals of a project or industry. If you haven’t immersed yourself in an industry for 3-5 years, looking at a bit of information and claiming to understand its future development is just following the crowd. Truly understanding an industry is like earning a bachelor’s degree.
In fact, investing in a good company’s fundamentals doesn’t need any research.
Many smart people have already done research for you; they have directly voted with their money. What you really need to consider is time and your ability to make money.
You don’t need to study Apple or Tencent. Spending time trying to understand their industries is a waste. Knowing that they are indeed very profitable is enough.
Making money cannot be self-deception; you truly have to understand. Many people just listen to what others say is good.
If someone says this is good, they spend money to buy it; if someone says that is bad, they don’t buy it.
Then you will definitely lose money.
Researching the fundamentals of the crypto circle is even more nonsense. Does BTC need any fundamental research?
If you want to thoroughly understand the fundamentals, you need to spend several more years on your knowledge base. I mean really understanding, not just what others say.
For me, understanding that BTC can serve as a convenient and easily carried store of value that cannot be deprived of excessive profits is enough.
As for other areas like cryptoeconomics and topology, forget it, I might as well read a novel to entertain myself. My own abilities are insufficient.
As for why it cannot be deprived of excessive profits, I don’t know. But the conclusions drawn by many smart people over a long time are my conclusions. Making money is about standing on the shoulders of others. I know my own abilities, why bother studying these?
I research how to make a little more money off-market, buy a little more; I think this is more suitable for most people, and I do it this way myself.
If you study the information others provide and the fundamentals of other clones intensely, you are definitely on a wrong path.
The basic logic of truly making money in the crypto circle hasn’t even been introduced.
I am writing this today to introduce you to the way to make money in the crypto circle. This is my selfless contribution.
Making money in the crypto circle is about studying human nature and emotions.
Human nature is about studying your own mentality regarding the rise and fall of coins, whether you can restrain greed and non-greed, fear and non-fear. You must be able to control all four.
You can savor this well. Human nature, the human nature of others, is the biggest fundamental you must study to make money in the crypto circle.
Emotion is the market's emotion; when is it rational, when is it irrational? Why does emotion exist, how long can it last, and what stage is the current emotion in?
Emotion is brought by capital; anything can be faked. The data brought by emotional capital is not fake, such as rising loan rates, inverted prices of U, etc.
You must be clear whether the price is high or low. Only then can you buy low and sell high.
These are some micro-expressions of market sentiment, and there are many more for you to research yourself.
In any case, if you can focus on researching these two directions, you will generally achieve results.
Do not study the fundamentals of coins, don’t bother, you won’t make money. Even if you do make some, reflect while you sleep: was it due to a market explosion, luck, or market sentiment?
Before you buy a meme coin, research the fundamentals first: who invented it, who narrates it, what good news exists; otherwise, it’s a waste of effort. When it rises, you see only good news, deceiving you to take over; when it falls, all you see is bad news, deceiving you to cut losses. That’s all wasted effort.
Price triggers news, not the other way around. If prices don’t rise, are news reports not in vain? No one would release news. Every good piece of news is a resource. Don’t get the causal logic wrong. If you do, you’re the one being harvested.
If you do it wrong, you may not lose money in the short term and might even make a lot, but in the long term, you will definitely lose everything.
If you do it right, you may not make money in the short term, but you will definitely make money in the long term.
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