$TRUMP Short-term Risk Breakdown: The Game Dilemma Under Three Major Pressure Points
Currently, the price trend of $TRUMP is facing three structural pressures:
Giant Whale's Scythe Hanging Above
On-chain data shows that the MemeCore address withdrew 191,000 TRUMP (approximately 3.8 million USD) within two hours, and its total holdings still account for 12.3% of the circulating supply.
This highly controlled market structure harbors dual risks: Historical cases show that when a single address holds more than 10%, the probability of a one-day dump increases by 3.7 times (refer to the PEPE 5.19 incident). Currently, the average holding cost for whales is about 0.03, and the current price of 15 corresponds to a floating profit of over 500 times, creating a strong motivation for profit-taking and capital diversion crisis.
The listing of JSTUSDT perpetual contracts on Binance will directly divert funds from the Meme sector: The initial margin requirement for the new contract is as low as 5%, with leveraged funds shifting preferences from high-risk Meme to stablecoin derivatives in the TRON ecosystem. Of the 1 billion USDT issued by Tether yesterday, 320 million has already flowed into the TRX ecosystem through the JUST Lend protocol, demonstrating a significant liquidity siphoning effect.
The 3,520 BTC theft incident (approximately 230 million USD) disclosed by ZachXBT is triggering a chain reaction: The stolen funds are being transferred in batches to XMR via ChipMixer, resulting in Monero's 24-hour increase exceeding BTC by 50%. Exchanges have raised withdrawal fees for altcoins by 15%, and low liquidity coins like TRUMP face greater selling pressure risks.
Participation must follow the "3-3 Rule": Single position ≤ 3% of total funds, holding time ≤ 36 hours.
Key support level set at $12.7 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level), stop loss immediately if breached.
Beware of "Evening Liquidity Trap": Eastern US Time 21:00-24:00 (Asian morning) is a high-frequency dumping period for Meme coins.
When the whale's holding exceeds 10%, please silently repeat three times: "This is a casino."
