Bitcoin Valuation Update:

Current Price: $94K

Quantile Model Risk Score: 56.6%

Bitcoin is making its second attempt to reach "escape velocity" and enter the speculative zone.

In every previous cycle, there have been one or two failed attempts before the final breakout to the top.

Currently, we are at a point similar to November 2020, when Bitcoin was priced at $13K — and from there it surged to $61K.

Although tighter monetary policy and recession fears may slow down the pace this cycle, the Fed is now moving toward easing policy from here on out.

Assuming we navigate some volatility from recession scares, the broader setup is a strong tailwind for Bitcoin.

📈 By the end of this year, all conditions for a Bitcoin top are expected to be in place:

Looser monetary policy

Tariff effects behind us

Pro-growth government policies (tax cuts, deregulation, etc.)