$SUI Here’s a full analysis and trading strategy based on what your chart shows:
Key Observations:
• Current Price: $3.4975
• 24h Range: $3.4686 (low) to $3.8114 (high)
• EMA 20 (Pink Line): Around $3.5550 (price is now below the EMA) → bearish signal
• MACD Indicator:
• MACD line is below the signal line.
• MACD histogram is red and increasing → bearish momentum.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index):
• RSI(14) is around 46.37, which is neutral but slightly bearish (below 50).
• Volume:
• Decreasing volume suggests weakening interest in the recent move.
Trading Strategy:
1. Short-Term Bias: Bearish
• Since the price is below EMA20 and MACD is negative, the short-term trend favors sellers.
• RSI below 50 confirms loss of bullish momentum.
Plan: Look for short positions if price cannot reclaim EMA20 ($3.5550).
2. Entry Point for Short:
• Ideal to short if:
• Price retests near $3.54–$3.55 and fails to break above.
• Confirm with a bearish candlestick (like a red engulfing candle).
3. Target (Take Profit) for Short:
• First target: $3.28 zone (previous support zone).
• Second target: Around $3.09–$3.10 if sell pressure increases.
4. Stop Loss:
• Above $3.57, slightly higher than EMA20 to avoid getting trapped by small wicks.
5. If Bullish Reversal Happens:
• If the price strongly closes above $3.55 with good volume, shift bias back to bullish.
• Look for a move back toward $3.80.
Risk Management Tip:
• Since the trend is not extremely strong (RSI isn’t deeply overbought/oversold), trade smaller size until a clear momentum shows.
• Always use stop loss — this market can spike quickly.
Visual Trading Plan (Summary with Picture reference):
• Red area (above $3.57) → Stop loss for shorts.
• Green entry zone ($3.54–$3.55 rejection) → Open short.
• Green take profit zones → $3.28 (TP1), $3.09 (TP2).