### In-depth Analysis of Worldcoin (WLD) and Price Prediction for End of 2025 (Updated April 26, 2025)
#### 1. Project Overview
Worldcoin (WLD) is a cryptocurrency project initiated by OpenAI co-founder Sam Altman, aimed at building a global decentralized identity verification system (World ID) and financial infrastructure. Its core innovation lies in using iris scanning technology to create a unique digital identity (World ID), ensuring fair distribution of cryptocurrency while promoting global inclusive finance.
- Core functions:
- World ID: Decentralized identity verification, preventing Sybil attacks.
- World App: Supports cryptocurrency storage, trading, and identity management.
- World Chain (Layer 2): Optimizes transaction speed and costs, improving ecological scalability.
- Token allocation:
- Total supply: 10 billion WLD.
- Circulation (April 2025): Approximately 1.04% (104 million), market capitalization approximately $336 million.
- Token allocation controversy: Over 60% allocated to insiders, leading to high concentration risk for retail investors.
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#### 2. Current Market Performance (April 26, 2025)
- Price: $1.16 (down over 90% from the historical high of $11.93, but still up over 670% from the issue price of $0.15).
- Recent key events:
- March 2025: Collaboration with Polygon Labs to introduce Zk-Rollup, improving trading efficiency, with a short-term increase of 5%.
- April 2025: Facing a $50 million token unlock, short-term selling pressure leads to price volatility.
- World ID 3.0: New depth facial recognition, enhanced privacy protection, suitable for Web3 applications.
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#### 3. Technical Progress and Ecological Development
- World Chain (Layer 2):
- Self-developed expansion plan to reduce gas fees and improve transaction speed (target TPS 1000+).
- Expected mainnet launch in Q3 2025, which could become a price catalyst.
- World Chat:
- Integrating chat and payment functions with World ID, supporting cryptocurrency transfers (similar to the Web3 version of Telegram).
- Partners:
- Collaborating with Polygon, Aleph.im, etc., to promote ecological expansion.
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#### 4. Key Risk Factors
- Token unlocking pressure:
- Large-scale unlocking is still expected in 2025 (such as additional releases in Q3-Q4), which may suppress price increases.
- Regulatory challenges:
- Iris data collection is restricted in regions such as the EU and China, with ongoing privacy compliance issues.
- Market competition:
- The ongoing development of public chain ecosystems like Ethereum and Solana may divert users and developers.
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#### 5. Price Prediction for End of 2025 (One-way prediction)
Prediction range: $2.50 - $4.00 (increase of 115%-245%)
Core basis:
1. Successful implementation of technical upgrades: If the World Chain mainnet launches successfully and optimizes the trading experience, it may attract more developers.
2. Growing demand for Web3 identity: If World ID is adopted by more DApps, the utility of WLD will increase.
3. Market sentiment warming: If the overall cryptocurrency market rebounds in the second half of 2025 (such as a rate cut by the Federal Reserve), WLD may benefit.
4. Institutional and community support: The Worldcoin team continues to promote ecological construction, and long-term value may be recognized by the market.
Pessimistic scenario (drops below $1):
- If token unlocking leads to sustained selling pressure or regulatory tightening, the price may decline further.
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#### 6. Investment Advice
- Suitable for investors: Investors optimistic about the long-term prospects of Web3 identity verification and able to withstand high volatility.
- Operational strategies:
- Key resistance level: $2.00 (breaking through may accelerate the increase).
- Risk control: Be cautious of large unlocking events (such as additional releases in Q3-Q4 2025).
- Diversified investment: Avoid heavy positions, hedge risks by combining with mainstream coins like BTC/ETH.
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### Conclusion
Worldcoin (WLD) has technological innovations (World ID, World Chain) and ecological expansion potential, but in the short term, it is significantly affected by token unlocks and regulatory risks. If technological implementation goes smoothly by the end of 2025, the price is expected to break through $3; conversely, if market sentiment remains low or unlocking pressure continues, it may drop below $1. Investors need to closely monitor the progress of World Chain, the rhythm of token unlocks, and global regulatory dynamics.
