#以太坊的未来
The Future of Ethereum: Is it Really the Golden Road, or a Heavy Burden?
Recently, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has fired another shot. This time the target? Ethereum.
In an AMA, Charles criticized Ethereum extensively, pointing out issues with its economic model, flaws in its consensus mechanism, and most harshly, directly attacking Layer 2, calling it 'parasitic'. That sounds pretty intense.
What exactly is he talking about?
• Economic model issue: The fee mechanism of Ethereum scares away ordinary users with 'high gas'. Every interaction feels like a lottery, hoping the transaction will be cheaper.
• Consensus design issue: Transitioning to PoS was originally meant to solve energy consumption, but governance structures and centralization issues of PoS are starting to emerge, turning miner hegemony into 'whale' dominance.
• Is Layer 2 'parasitic'?
Charles means that since Ethereum itself cannot handle scaling, it relies on Layer 2 as a patch, like Optimism, Arbitrum, zkSync. This is not a cure, but rather a bloodsucker on the mainnet.
Is it really that bad?
Not necessarily, but it's not optimistic either.
Ethereum is still the 'big brother' of Web3, with DeFi, NFTs, and DAOs all relying on it. But issues do exist:
• Gas fees are so high that they make people 'reluctant to act'
• Layer 2 user experience is fragmented, and cross-chain is complicated
• High development threshold; if a newcomer can't understand Solidity, they might as well forget about playing around
• The interests between Layer 2 and Rollup projects may lead to a more fragmented ecosystem
Does Ethereum still have a future?
Of course, but it needs to evolve and genuinely address the three major hurdles of 'scaling, experience, governance'. Otherwise, even with strong technology and a large community, it could still be overturned by newcomers.
Conclusion: The future is not a scripted play, but a game that is played out
Cardano, Solana, Polkadot, all are eyeing it closely. Ethereum can no longer rely on its 'historical status' to survive. Who will the future belong to? Perhaps not the one with the best technology, but the one who can simplify complex technology and truly integrate into users' lives.