ETH/USDT Futures Analysis – April 25, 2025
Current Price: $1,775.20
24h High / Low: $1,790.50 / $1,722.90
Volume (ETH): 488,059.20
Volume (USDT): 857.85M
Analyzed Time Frame: 4H
Technical Indicators Summary
Moving Average (MA 9): $1,585.69
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA): $1,585.96
Interpretation: ETH has strongly broken above both MAs, showing short-term bullish momentum.
Average Sentiment Index (ASI 10): -5.108K
Interpretation: Still in negative territory, suggesting persistent bearish pressure from a longer trend, although it is flattening.
Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): 50.16
Interpretation: The RSI is near the neutral zone. The current reading implies that ETH is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving room for a move in either direction.
Balance of Power (BoP): 0.56 (positive)
Interpretation: Buyers are currently in control. Combined with the price above MA, this supports a continuation of bullish pressure.
ADX (Average Directional Index): 10
Interpretation: Weak trend strength. The price may need a stronger directional catalyst before a breakout or breakdown.
Recent Price Action
ETH bounced from a low of around $1,580 and surged strongly, hitting a 24h high of $1,790.
This rally suggests that a possible bottom may have been found, and ETH is trying to regain upward momentum.
Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: $1,790 (24h High). A breakout above could push the price towards $1,850–$1,880.
Strong Resistance Zone: psychological level of $1,900 and previous breakdown zone.
Support Level 1: $1,722 (24h Low).
Support Level 2: $1,585 (aligned with MA & ALMA).
Breakout Probability & Forecast
Probability of Bullish Breakout: 65%
If ETH holds above $1,750 with increasing volume and RSI trending towards 60+, a breakout towards $1,850–$1,900 is likely.
Probability of Bearish Breakdown: 35%
If ETH loses support at $1,722, expect a correction back towards $1,650–$1,600. MA zones will act as strong test levels.
Future Price Targets (Short Term)
Bullish Scenario:
Target 1: $1,850
Target 2: $1,900
Extension: $1,950 (if BTC also shows strength)
Bearish Scenario:
Target 1: $1,650
Target 2: $1,600
Panic Zone: $1,540
Conclusion
ETH/USDT currently shows signs of recovery, supported by the MA crossover and a positive BoP. However, a low ADX and neutral RSI suggest a cautious approach. A strong move above $1,790 with volume confirmation could ignite a bullish leg towards $1,900+, but if ETH fails to hold $1,722, we may revisit the $1,600 area.
Recommendation: Wait for confirmation above $1,790 before going long. Set a stop-loss just below $1,720. For shorts, a breakdown below $1,720 can be sold with a stop near $1,790.
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