April 25, 2025 02:21
$BTC • Current price: 93,141.9 USDT, increase of 0.69%.
• 24-hour data:
• 24-hour high: 94,409.5 USDT
• 24-hour low: 91,919.0 USDT
• Current stage: The B wave rebound may have ended, currently entering the early stage of the C wave decline.
• Scenario 1: C wave decline (high probability):
• Basis: RSI has fallen (64.36→58.8), K-line shows a bearish candle (selling pressure increases), price breaks below MA(7), approaching B wave target (93,500).
• Forecast: The price may continue to decline, entering C wave, target 91,919.0 (24-hour low) or 91,500-91,000.
• Trading advice: Short with light positions in the range of 93,141-93,300, target 91,919.0, stop loss at 93,505.9.
• Scenario 2: B wave rebound continues (medium probability):
• Basis: MACD is still in a golden cross, price is above MA(25), short-term trend has not completely turned bearish.
• Forecast: If the price breaks through 93,505.9, it may continue to test 94,000-94,409.5.
• Trading advice: After breaking 93,505.9, lightly chase long positions, target 94,409.5, stop loss at 93,000.
• Scenario 3: Sideways consolidation (low probability):
• Basis: If MACD and RSI show no clear direction, the price may fluctuate in the range of 92,500-93,500.
• Trading advice: Range trading, buy low and sell high, buy at support (92,500), sell at resistance (93,500).
