The four-hour BTC chart hides a deadly trap; bloodshed is inevitable in the bull-bear meat grinder tonight!

Deadly Detail One: Price Hanging on the Edge of a Cliff

BTC is stuck at the life-and-death line of $9350, with the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at $9209 as the last defense, and the upper band at $9475 looming overhead. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands is rapidly rising, while the lower band is flat, indicating clear signs of market manipulation. Historically, this pattern has an 80% chance of changing within 12 hours; for example, in March, there was a sharp drop from $9200 to $8720 before a V-shaped recovery, resulting in a liquidation of $500 million in leveraged positions.

Deadly Detail Two: Trading Volume Playing the "Empty City Strategy"

The four-hour trading volume dropped sharply from 11.14K to 5.57K, with prices stubbornly holding up and not falling—a typical tactic to lure in buyers by the main force. This is similar to the sharp price drop after a volume contraction on May 7, and the current presence of 35,000 buy orders at $9200 is a dangerous signal—true support does not need to be obvious, making this a clear trap for unwary traders.

Deadly Detail Three: The Market is Like the "Chu-Han Boundary"

There are 5.57K sell orders stacked between $9350 and $9475, blocking any upward movement, while 35,000 buy orders at $9200 serve as a protective moat. This is reminiscent of the BitMEX market before the plunge on March 12, where the market maker can cancel orders at any moment, triggering an avalanche. A break on either side could release at least $300 in price movement.

Personal Prediction

The market maker's "fishing strategy" is in place! Coupled with the weakness in U.S. stock futures, there is a high probability of a three-pronged attack between 2-4 AM:

1. Smash down to $9180 to trigger stop-loss orders for long positions, then quickly pull back to $9350, causing a final plunge through $9200 to finish.

Last year, Bitfinex executed this same strategy three times, with each instance resulting in over $300 million in liquidations.

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