• Current stage: B wave rebound nearing its end, may soon enter C wave downtrend.
• Scenario 1: B wave rebound ends, C wave downtrend (high probability):
• Basis: RSI in high position (64.36), close to overbought, candlestick shows a small bearish line at a high position (selling pressure sign), price close to B wave target (93,500-94,000).
• Forecast: Price may drop after encountering resistance in the range of 93,500-94,000, entering C wave, target 91,660.01 or 91,000.
• Trading suggestion: Take a light short position in the range of 93,500-94,000, target 91,660.01, stop loss at 94,200.
• Scenario 2: B wave continues to rebound (medium probability):
• Basis: MACD golden cross, price breaks MA(7) and MA(25), short-term trend turns strong.
• Forecast: If the price breaks 94,000, it may continue to probe 94,172.07 (24-hour high) or higher (94,696.05).
• Trading suggestion: After breaking 94,000, take a light position to go long, target 94,696.05, stop loss at 93,500.
• Scenario 3: Sideways consolidation (low probability):
• Basis: If MACD and RSI show no clear direction, price may fluctuate in the range of 92,500-93,500.
• Trading suggestion: Range trading, buy low sell high, buy at support (92,500), sell at resistance (93,500).
