$TRUMP
As of April 25, 2025, the OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP/USDT) pair is trading at $11.90, down about 5.87% over the past 24 hours. Major technical and fundamental drivers right now:
Imminent Unlock Schedule: 40 million TRUMP tokens (~$320 million at current price) are unlocking daily as part of a multi-year vesting schedule, which could exert significant sell-pressure in the coming weeks
๐ Technical Overview (4H Timeframe)
RSI (4H): ~60 โ bullish, but canโt ignore overbought rejections near 70
MACD (4H): Above signal line โ supports upside continuation
Volume: Declining on pullbacks, rising on bounces โ typical of a healthy uptrend
โ
Bullish Trade Plan
Entry
Trigger: Confirmed 4H close above $12.50 with >20% higher-than-average volume.
Alternative: Aggressive entry on a bounce off $11.00 support zone with true-rangeโbased stop.
Stop-Loss
Standard: $10.75 (just below the $10.80 support)
Aggressive: $10.40 (below longer-term base)
Take-Profit Targets
TP1: $14.20 (initial swing/high retest)
TP2: $15.00 (psychological cap)
TP3: $17.50 (extension +1.618 Fib on the April rally)
Risk Management
Risk per trade: 1โ2% of portfolio
Risk:Reward: 1:2 minimum (to TP1), up to 1:4 to TP3
Adjust: Move SL to breakeven once TP1 is hit
โ Bearish Trade Plan
Trigger: 4H close below $10.80 with outsized selling volume.
Entry (Short): On break / retest of $10.80 as resistance.
SL: $11.30 (above retest high)
Targets:
T1: $9.40 (long-term base)
T2: $8.20 (next psychological zone)
Key Considerations:
Token Unlocks will likely keep volatility elevatedโbeware of flash dumps around unlock timestamps.
Macro Crypto Trends: A broad market pullback (e.g., BTC below key supports) could exacerbate downside.
News Catalysts: Any unexpected statements from the Trump Organization or regulatory bodies can trigger fast moves.
Trade here $TRUMP
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