📉 BTC vs. Markets: Decoupling or Dead Cat Bounce?

Bitcoin reclaimed $91.5K this week (+23% from April lows) while stocks and the dollar faltered. 

Key drivers:  

1. ETF Inflows: Spot BTC ETFs saw $381M inflows on April 22—the highest since January.

2. Macro Hedge**: BTC’s correlation with the S&P 500 dropped to 0.65 as Trump’s Fed pressure and trade wars spooked traditional markets .  

3. Gold Rivalry: BTC’s 10% April gain outpaced gold’s 8%, cementing its "digital gold" narrative .  

Caution: Low trading volumes and a neutral futures premium (6%) suggest skepticism.

Resistance at $93K is critical breaking it could target $100K+

🃏 Trump Coin Analysis: Political Pump or Rug Pull?

The TRUMP coin is a high-stakes bet tied to Trump’s whims:  

- Bull Case:  

  - Regulatory tailwinds (Trump’s pro-crypto executive order) .  

  - Adoption by Trump merch stores and integration with Truth.Fi’s crypto ETFs .  

- Bear Case:  

  - 80% supply unlock risk by 2028 .  

  - Ethical concerns over presidential promotion and insider holdings .  

Price Targets: Analysts project $35 to $300 for 2025, but extreme volatility is guaranteed .  

Pro Tip: Watch Trump’s May 6 Fed rate-cut demands a dovish pivot could boost crypto sentiment .  

🔮 BTC’s April Endgame: 

3 Scenarios to Watch

1. Fed vs. Trump: A rate-cut clash could spark volatility. A dovish Fed may propel BTC past $95K

2. ETF Momentum: Sustained inflows could fuel a $150K rally by EOY (per Coin Bureau) .  

3. Technical Outlook:  

   - Bullish: A close above $93K confirms a breakout, targeting $100K

   - Bearish: Failure risks a pullback to $88K support

Wildcard: US-China trade talks—any de-escalation could boost risk assets .  

💬 Engage with Us!

- Will TRUMP moon post-dinner or dump on unlocks?  

- Is BTC’s decoupling from stocks sustainable?  

- Comment your BTC price target for May! 

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