【BTC Market Analysis: Medium-term Trend Reversal, Short-term Strength Followed by Adjustment Window】
From the trend perspective:
1. The current BTC price has broken through the platform oscillation range, starting from the 87K level on a 4-hour timeframe, forming a rapid upward main rising segment. This wave of rise has sufficient momentum, and the price has moved far away from the previous central structure, with a clear short-term bullish trend.
2. However, it is necessary to be cautious as the large-scale trend has not completely reversed, and the long cycle is still in an adjustment structure. The current rise belongs to the main rising segment within the 4-hour rebound cycle, and is still positioned as a medium-level rebound market, rather than a complete reversal at the trend level.
From the structural perspective:
1. The medium-term trend has turned upward from the sideways oscillation, and the moving average system has confirmed the reversal;
2. Short-term prices have moved far away from the central axis, and there is a technical need for a pullback;
3. The upper edge of the previous platform at the 87K area has shifted from a resistance level to a support level, which is a key position for the long and short game.
Strategy Recommendations:
1. At the current stage, it is not advisable to blindly chase highs; wait for the price to pull back to the 87K-88K range and observe whether a new central area or consolidation confirmation signal is formed;
2. If a short-term top structure is formed at a high level (around 93,000), consider lightly shorting in the short term, with the target looking at the pullback confirmation support area;
3. If signs of stabilization appear during the pullback, it is an ideal time to re-enter with low bids, suitable for gradually laying out subsequent medium-term long positions;
If the 87K level cannot be maintained subsequently, one should cautiously view the sustainability of this round of rebound and wait for clearer signals before participating.