1- Short-term bull-bear dividing line: 1770 position.
1-2 hour level closing is the basis for judgment:
1. Stabilizing above 1770:
- Small-level pullback ends, market resumes upward trend.
- Upper pressure level: 1805 (short-term) → 1837 (medium-term) → 1866 (key resistance zone), breaking can look for higher space.
2. Breaking 1770:
- Confirm 1-2 hour level continues to pull back, need to guard against downside risks.
- Support level below:
- First Support: 1742 (previous low, breaking opens up space);
- Second Support: 1714 (breaking triggers a 4-hour level pullback, signal of trend weakening);
- Deep Support: 1690→1666 (Medium to Long-term Strong Support Range).
2- Multi-cycle linkage logic.
- 1-2 hour level: 1770 is the short-term strong-weak dividing line, closing direction determines immediate trend.
- 4-hour level: after breaking 1714, technical indicators may form pullback signals (such as MACD death cross), need to adjust holding period.
3- Operational strategy suggestions.
1. Aggressive type:
- Stabilizing above 1770 can take light long positions, target 1805-1837, stop-loss below 1760.
- If breaking 1742, can short with light positions, target 1714-1690, stop-loss above 1750.
2. Conservative type:
- Wait for clear breakout signals (such as volume stabilizing at 1770 or breaking 1714) before entering, to avoid loss from fluctuations.
- Pay attention to the trading active period from 22:00 to 2:00, and determine the direction based on volume changes.
4- Risk warning.
- Need to be wary of capital flows before and after U.S. stock market close (around 23:00) and sudden news impacts.
- Strict stop-loss (e.g., stop-loss for long positions set at 1765, stop-loss for short positions set at 1775), to avoid extreme market losses.
Summary: Taking 1770 as the boundary, bullish above, bearish below, small-level trends follow the direction of large cycles (daily), pay attention to position management and take-profit rhythm during operations.$ETH #以太坊走势