📊 Today's key levels (BTC/USDT)
🔺 Short to medium-term resistance area:
95,000-98,000 (historical resistance + psychological barrier, concentrated short area)
🔻 Support area:
Short-term support at 91,500 (4-hour EMA30 dynamic support, a dividing line for bulls and bears)
Second support at 88,000 (weekly breakout point, miner support cost zone)
💥 Market analysis: hidden dangers behind the surge
Intense bull-bear game:
BTC reached a daily high of $94,000 but failed to hold the $95,000 mark, with continuous spikes and drops on the 4-hour chart indicating heavy selling pressure above.
RSI overbought (80+), MACD histogram at a high level showing signs of weakening, increasing the risk of a technical pullback.
Market sentiment is divided:
Retail investors are enthusiastic about chasing the rise, but whale addresses have net outflows of 12,000 BTC in the past 3 days; smart money shows clear signs of reducing positions at highs.
Contract open interest hits a new high for the year, leverage spikes to over 25x, and liquidation threshold only requires a 5% fluctuation.
💔 Blood and tears case: holding positions = chronic suicide!
Data truth:
78% of losses come from holding onto positions, resisting a 5% pullback → liquidation to zero requires only 2 hours;
12% due to blindly chasing altcoins, liquidity traps consuming principal.
🚨 Survival guide for all players
1️⃣ Strict stop-loss rules:
Loss of 3% → Unconditionally reduce position by 50%;
Key support upon breakout (e.g., 91,500) → Liquidate immediately.
2️⃣ Reject emotional trading:
Don’t fantasize about ‘whales washing positions’ during a drop, and don’t be greedy for ‘another 10% rise’ during an increase;
3️⃣ Leverage = suicide tool:
Under 20x leverage, a 5% fluctuation can lead to liquidation, while BTC's daily fluctuation often exceeds 8%;
Uninstall contract platforms, stay away from high-leverage gambling (see warning image at the end).
💡 Earning strategy in a volatile market (low-risk version)
If you want to participate in the market but fear liquidation, you can try:
Spot grid trading:
Range set at 88,000-95,000, add positions every 3% drop, take partial profits at a 5% rebound;
Options hedging strategy:
Buy 95,000 put options (to hedge against breakout risks), cost only accounts for 2% of the principal.
🌈 The last heartfelt message
"A bull market is the beginning of others losing money, a bear market is your starting point to make money."
Reject FOMO, strictly adhere to discipline, and you can survive the bull and bear markets!
⚠️ Statement: This article is for market communication only and does not constitute any investment advice!
#Bitcoin market #Trading discipline #Liquidation warning #Cryptocurrency survival guide
@everyone Protect your principal, stay away from a gambler's mindset!