In 2021, trader Tony carved out a bloody path in the cryptocurrency world with a capital of 50,000, relying on 'high leverage rolling positions + anti-human nature discipline' to earn 20 million. His trading system is like a precision instrument: 5% trial position + 20% profit reinvestment + 3% hard stop-loss, locking risks in a cage while letting profits run wild.
Today, we break down his core strategy, giving newcomers 5 'life-saving money-making formulas' - remember, his sickle can cut down the market makers, but your sickle must first learn to cut down your greed.

One, capital management: First calculate how much you can afford to lose, then think about how much to earn. Tony's rule: Always keep 30% cash as 'bullets', and never open positions exceeding 5% of your capital.

  • Wrong demonstration: Newcomers often make the 'full position syndrome', betting all 50,000 on a coin, losing 5,000 when it drops 10%, causing their mindset to collapse;

  • Correct posture: Divide the money into 10 parts (each part 5,000), buy one part for every 10% drop in BTC (e.g., buy the first part at 60,000, the second part at 54,000), when it drops to 30,000, the total cost is 45,000, and when it rebounds to 45,000, you double your investment;

  • Tony's practical example: In 2021, ETH started from 1,000, he opened a trial position with 5% (2,500) at 20x leverage, after making 10%, he reinvested 20% of the profits, finally taking profit at 4,000, rolling his 50,000 into 400,000.

Two, cycle judgment: Use 'weekly lines to determine direction, daily lines to find buying points' to filter noise.

Tony's viewing method:

  • Bull market characteristics: Weekly MA60 (60-week moving average) turns up, and the coin price stabilizes above MA60 (like BTC stabilizing at 12,000 in 2020), go long with your eyes closed;

  • Bear market signals: Weekly line drops below MA60 for three consecutive weeks, clear 90% of positions, leaving 10% to play DeFi to mine stablecoin returns (annualized 8% guaranteed);

  • Practical case: During the sharp drop on May 19, 2021, he discovered through the weekly line that BTC had not broken MA60 (at that time MA60 was at 32,000), and added positions at 35,000 against the trend, earning 150% when it rebounded to 60,000.

Three, Technical Analysis: Only act when three indicators resonate, refuse 'unrequited love'.

Tony's indicator combination:

  1. Moving average system: Daily MA50 golden cross MA200 (bullish for medium to long term) + 4-hour MA20 support is effective;

  2. Volume-price relationship: During an uptrend, trading volume expands by 1.5 times (real money entering the market), while during a downtrend, the volume shrinks (no panic selling);

  3. MACD divergence: When the coin price hits a new low, MACD green bars shorten (bottom divergence, buy signal).

  4. Counterexample: Newcomers see RSI oversold and jump in to buy, only to encounter a LUNA-style crash - must wait for three indicators to be bullish before acting.

Four, fundamental research: More important than K-line is the 'project survival line'.

Tony's research checklist:

  • Team background: Check the founders' LinkedIn (whether they have a background in finance/technology from major companies, for instance, blacklist 'genius scammers' like SBF);

  • Technical grounding: Does the project have a real product (for example, Uniswap has DEX trading data, while a worthless coin only has a PPT);

  • Institutional holdings: Use Nansen to check whale addresses, institutional holdings over 30% (like Grayscale's BTC holdings), higher safety margin;

  • Policy sensitivity: Avoid 'regulatory high-risk zones' (like BUSD and XRP named by the SEC in the US in 2023).

  • Practical case: In 2021, he heavily invested in SOL because the team came from Solana Labs (former Qualcomm engineers) and FTX supported it, ultimately SOL rose from 50 to 260.

Five, mindset management: Use 'robotic discipline' to kill greed and fear.

Tony's anti-human nature operations:

  • Profit handling: For every 50% profit, withdraw 30% of your capital to store in a cold wallet (for example, if you make 25,000 from 50,000, withdraw 15,000, leaving 60,000 to continue rolling);

  • Stop-loss iron rule: Immediately cut positions if floating losses exceed 3% (if you have 100,000, sell at a 3,000 loss), do not hold onto 'rebound fantasies' (historical data: holding a position for over 4 hours leads to a 92% liquidation rate);

  • Emotional isolation: Turn off 99% of community interactions, only use TradingView to watch the market, and trade at 10 AM / 4 PM / 10 PM regularly to avoid being disturbed by real-time fluctuations.

  • Classic battle: Before the 2022 LUNA crash, he noticed that 90% of the community was shouting 'go for it', triggering a 'FOMO alert', clearing positions an hour in advance, and avoiding a 99% drop.

Must-read for newcomers: 'Three life-saving red lines' are more important than strategies.

  1. Reject leverage myths: Tony used 20x leverage, but each time only bet 5% of his capital (actual risk ≈ 1x leverage), newcomers should not learn '100x gambling life';

  2. Stay away from 'hundred times coin traps': 99% of small coins go to zero, Tony only trades coins in the top 20 by market cap (BTC, ETH, BNB account for 80% of the portfolio);

  3. First practice with a simulation account: Use Bitget to simulate trading for 3 months, only deposit real money after achieving over 40% win rate - before real money, let your strategy 'die' in the simulation.

Conclusion: The cryptocurrency world is not a casino, it's an 'anti-human training ground'.

Tony's 20 million profit is essentially 'calculating risks to the extreme with discipline, allowing probabilities to stand on his side'. Newcomers remember:

  • Making big money relies on cycles (in a bull market, you can earn with your eyes closed), preserving capital relies on risk control (surviving in a bear market means you win);

  • Technical analysis is the 'rearview mirror', fundamentals are the 'steering wheel', and mindset is the 'braking system';

  • The last iron rule: When you want to 'hold on for another 10 minutes', first ask yourself - if you lose everything in these 10 minutes, can you accept it?


    (I am@链上觅金人 _ , if you are also diligently studying the technical operations in the cryptocurrency world, you might want to follow the Gongzhong account (On-chain Gold Seeker), where you will get the latest cryptocurrency intelligence and trading skills.)