#Metaplanet增持比特币 1. **Long Position Holders**:
- Take partial profits around 93,888 (30%), set a trailing stop for the remaining position below 90,000.
- If it breaks 95,000, add to the position (target 100,000–105,000).
2. **No Position / Light Position Holders**:
- **Aggressive Strategy**: Lightly buy at the current price (5% position), stop loss at 90,000, target 95,000.
- **Conservative Strategy**: Wait for a pullback to the 90,000–88,000 range to build positions in batches, stop loss at 86,000.
3. **Risk Control**:
- If the price falls below 90,000, reduce position by 50% and observe EMA(25)=87,469 support.
- Watch for OBV divergence (new price highs but declining OBV); if this occurs, exit immediately.
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#### *Elliott Wave Theory Perspective**
- **Current Stage**: Possibly in the **early stage of Wave 5**, with the next target after breaking 93,888 being 95,000–100,000.
- **Characteristics of Wave 5**: Moderate increase in trading volume, OBV reaching new highs, KDJ overbought and flattening.
- **Potential Risk**: If Wave 5 fails (falls below 84,857), it may enter a deep correction.
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### **Summary**
- **Short-term**: Overbought but strong trend, pay attention to the sustainability of volume after breaking 93,888, target 95,000.
- **Medium-term**: After stabilizing at 95,000, the target for Wave 5 is 100,000–105,000.
- **Strategy**: Take profits in batches for long positions, for those not yet entered, position during pullbacks, and implement strict stop losses.
**Key Validation**:
- Breaking 95,000 requires a trading volume of ≥4 billion USDT.
- OBV must continue to rise, with no divergence signals.
