#BTC
📊 BTC’s Next Likely Move: $72K or $92K?
📈 Bullish Case: $92K
What would push us up?
Strong breakout above $87.5K with volume
RSI staying elevated without divergence
MACD accelerating upward — widening gap between MACD and Signal line
Positive catalysts: Fed easing talk, ETF inflows, global market rally
FOMO breakout past all-time highs triggers leveraged longs
Probability: ⚠️ Medium — requires a volume surge and strong sentiment shift.
📉 Bearish Case: $72K
What would push us down?
Failure to break $87.5K-$90K resistance
Declining volume on up moves (which we already see)
Bearish RSI divergence (price up, RSI down)
MACD histogram shrinking or a bearish crossover
Broader market risk-off events (Powell drama, liquidations, global jitters)
Probability: ✅ High — based on current weakening momentum signals and declining volume.
🎯 My Tactical Bias:
More likely to see a pullback to $72K first before any clean move toward $92K.
If $70-72K holds strong, that’s where new buying interest can fuel the next leg up to $92K.
Key Level to Watch: $83.5K — if BTC loses that, $72K is almost inevitable.
