#加密市场反弹 $BTC

Even if BTC rises to 90,000, there is a high probability that it will face a significant drop starting with 7! BTC won't drop to 70,000, and the bull market script simply can't be written.

We are not even at a point where a big rally can happen all at once.

Whether it's market sentiment, capital flow, or news, none support this. If BTC wants to start a real bull market, a key signal is the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates.

But what is the Fed's attitude now? There is no reliable news on rate cuts yet. So, this current wave of increase is, to put it bluntly, just a big rebound; don’t mistake it for a reversal, it’s not yet time to sprint.

From 100,000 to 70,000, how many people are trapped in this range? If the Fed does not lower rates, capital won't flow in, and market liquidity remains the same.

Relying on existing capital and retail investors alone cannot support a rise to 100,000.

The main players are not foolish; how could they possibly absorb all the trapped positions only to get stuck themselves, helping retail investors to break even? Who would engage in such a losing deal? It’s like pulling a cart; if the load is too heavy, the horse can’t pull it.