#加密市场反弹 Regardless of how high $BTC rises

There will inevitably be a significant drop starting with the number '7'

No matter how high this round of BTC rises, it will eventually fall back to the $70,000 range. Even if the price touches $87,600, $89,000, or even $92,000, it cannot escape the fate of a deep correction. The main reasons are as follows:

1. The current market conditions do not support a sustained surge. Whether it is market sentiment, capital flow, or policy environment, none have reached the standards for starting a bull market. For BTC to achieve a true breakthrough, we must wait for clear signals of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The current rise is merely a rebound in the bear market cycle, rather than a trend reversal.

2. There are a large number of trapped funds in the $100,000 to $70,000 range. Under the premise that the Federal Reserve maintains its current interest rate policy, the market lacks new capital injection, and the liquidity environment has not materially improved. Relying solely on existing funds and retail investors makes it difficult to break through key resistance levels. Major funds cannot fully absorb the historical trapped positions, nor will they actively create opportunities for retail investors to escape their positions.