No matter how high BTC rises in this round, it will ultimately fall back to the $70,000 range. Even if the price reaches $87,600, $89,000, or even $92,000, it cannot escape the fate of a deep correction, primarily for the following reasons:

1. The current market conditions do not support a sustained surge. Whether it is market sentiment, capital flow, or the policy environment, none have met the criteria to initiate a bull market. For BTC to achieve a true breakthrough, we must wait for a clear interest rate cut signal from the Federal Reserve. The current rise is merely a rebound in the bear market cycle, rather than a trend reversal.