#BTCRebound Opinion: Is the Bitcoin bounce an opportunity or a trap?

The recent bounce of Bitcoin, which has taken it above $81,000 after defending the critical support of $73,777, has ignited enthusiasm in the crypto market. The liquidation data of $370M in short positions in 24 hours shows a strong bullish force, supported by an increase in transaction volume and technical signals such as bullish divergence on the 4-hour chart. Additionally, the narrative of potential weakness of the US dollar, as noted by Goldman Sachs, could give BTC more momentum, reminiscent of the 2023 rally when it rose over 200% after hitting the bottom.

However, not everything is rosy. Coinbase's projection of a bounce in Q3 2025 reflects caution, with a crypto market hit by a 41% drop in altcoins and a 50-60% reduction in venture capital investment. Bitcoin's influence on the market seems to be diminishing, with sectors like DeFi and DePIN moving at their own pace. Furthermore, macroeconomic uncertainty, driven by the trade war between the US and China, could dampen optimism. Without a clear catalyst, such as massive institutional adoption or a technological breakthrough, this bounce could be just a mirage.

In my opinion, Bitcoin remains a high-risk, high-reward asset. Bulls have reasons to be hopeful, but volatility and external factors demand caution. If you decide to enter, do so with a clear strategy, a defined stop-loss, and without letting FOMO take over. And you, do you think this bounce is the beginning of a new bullish cycle or just a pause in the storm?

Note: This is not financial advice. All investments carry risks, so do your research before deciding.