#中美贸易关系 ---
### **Latest Data Technology Analysis (BTC/USDT)**
---
#### **1. Volume Assessment: Significant Improvement**
- **24-hour Trading Volume**: 2.286 billion USDT (**up 72% from the previous 1.326 billion**), indicating a substantial increase in market activity and active capital inflow.
- **Vol (Current Trading Volume)**: 7,956.62 BTC, higher than MA(5)=5,064.31 and MA(10)=3,174.73, showing **short-term volume continues to expand**, supporting the current upward trend.
- **OBV (On-Balance Volume)**: +94,829.53 (**turned positive from negative**), confirming buyer dominance and significant capital inflow.
---
#### **2. Price and Indicator Resonance**
- **KDJ Indicator**:
- J=102.20 (**severely overbought**), short-term pullback risk increases, but if the price consolidates at a high level, it may continue to be strong.
- K (79.55) and D (68.22) are still in an upward trend, indicating momentum is not completely exhausted.
- **EMA Support**:
- Price (88,063) stands firm above EMA(7)=86,644 and EMA(25)=85,440, and is far above EMA(99)=84,045, **long-term trend is strong**.
---
#### **3. Key Resistance and Targets**
- **Recent Resistance**:
- **88,465.99 (24h High)**: Breaking through this level may test the psychological level of 90k.
- **95,000.00 (Marked Resistance)**: Mid-term dividing line between bulls and bears, breaking through targets at 100k–105k.
- **Potential Pullback Levels**:
- **EMA(7)=86,600**: If a pullback occurs, this area is the first support.
- **EMA(25)=85,400**: Strong support, if broken, the short-term trend weakens.
---
### **Operational Recommendations**
1. **Short-term Strategy**:
- **Long Position Holders**: It is recommended to partially take profits near 88,500 (lock in profits), and set trailing stop-loss for the remaining position below 86,600.
- **New Investors**: Wait for a pullback to the 86,600–85,400 range to build positions in batches, with a stop-loss at 84,000.
2. **Mid-term Strategy**:
- If breaking through 95,000, increase positions targeting 100k–105k (Fibonacci extension levels).
- If KDJ shows a high-level death cross (K crosses below D), beware of a deep pullback to 82,000–80,000.
3. **Risk Control**:
- Avoid chasing highs in an overbought environment, prioritize right-side trading.
- Monitor if OBV continues to rise, if there is divergence (new price high but OBV declines), reduce positions immediately.
