#USChinaTensions LAYERUSDT Trading Analysis - 21/04/2025

## MARKET SNAPSHOT

Current price: $2.0920 | Volatility: 5.36% (Medium) | Market regime: Bull Volatile

## TRADE RECOMMENDATION: BUY

- **Entry:** $2.0920 (Current price)

- **Stop-Loss:** $1.9874 (5.00%)

- **Take-Profit:** $2.1966 (5.00%), $2.2488 (7.50%), $2.2900 (9.46%)

- **Risk/Reward:** 1.8 | **Order Type:** LIMIT | **Position Size:** 12%

## KEY INDICATORS

- **RSI:** 15m: 24.11 (oversold), 1h: 35.10 (oversold), 4h: 49.51 (neutral), 1d: 69.43 (near overbought)

- **MACD:** Negative on 15m & 1h, Positive on 4h & 1d

- **EMAs:** 7>20>50 alignment (bullish) on 4h & 1d timeframes

- **Volume:** Increased selling pressure (Buy/Sell ratio: 0.41)

- **Funding Rate:** -0.0003% (Negative, potential short squeeze)

## STRATEGY RATIONALE

Short-term oversold conditions within a longer-term uptrend present a buying opportunity. Multiple bearish candle patterns on 15m chart suggest caution, but EMAs maintain bullish structure on higher timeframes. Negative funding rate indicates potential short squeeze catalyst.

## KEY LEVELS

- **Support:** $2.0800, $2.0500, $2.0000 (psychological)

- **Resistance:** $2.1200, $2.1800, $2.2900 (ATH)

## RISK ASSESSMENT

Success probability: 60% | Confidence: 6.5/10

Main risks: Continued selling pressure, bearish candle patterns, and MACD divergence on lower timeframes.

## RECOMMENDED APPROACH

DCA strategy preferred:

- 30% at $2.0920

- 40% at $2.0700

- 30% at $2.0500

Monitor for trend reversal confirmation (RSI recovery, MACD crossover) before adding to position. Use trailing stop when price reaches $2.1500.