Hello, my friends!
Today I bring my reading on the current moment of Bitcoin.
The market has been accumulating three consecutive days of gains, primarily driven by former President Donald Trump's statement, which suggested the possible dismissal of Jerome Powell, chairman of the Federal Reserve. This statement weakened the dollar and opened space for BTC to gain strength in the short term.
Looking at the chart: after this sequence of recovery, the technical scenario points to the possibility of a rebound — that is, a downward correction before resuming the upward movement. If this drop is confirmed, an excellent entry opportunity may arise, especially if the pattern repeats what we saw in November of last year and at the beginning of the bull run in October 2023. Everything indicates that Bitcoin is paving the way for a new strong appreciation leg.
And an important point: 2025 is a post-halving year, and historically this cycle tends to be marked by significant highs and a strong altseason throughout the year. In fact, the market behavior so far is very reminiscent of what we saw in 2021 when the first half went through a considerable correction — and shortly after, the market embarked on a consistent rise until the end of the year.
If this pattern repeats, I’ll leave the alert: 2026 could be the year of the post-bull-cycle crash. Therefore, the moment is to prepare — study the entry points well, ride the bullish wave consciously, and, above all, know the right time to exit before the bubble bursts, which historically tends to happen at the end of the peak year or at the beginning of the following year.
Technical indicators at the time of analysis (09:42 AM, Brasília time):
1-minute chart: signals sell;
5 to 30-minute charts: neutral scenario;
1-hour to monthly charts: BTC is approaching overbought territory, requiring caution for immediate entries.
