16:17
In the next hour (from April 21, 2025, 16:15 to 17:15), SOL/USDT is expected to oscillate within the range of 139.50–141.50. The short-term direction is slightly bullish but lacks momentum. Current technical indicators (RSI around 40-45, MACD showing a slight death cross, and shrinking trading volume) indicate that the market is in a weak consolidation phase, with prices approaching the lower Bollinger Band, presenting some rebound opportunities, but there are no strong breakout signals yet.
If the price breaks above 140.30 (EMA8) accompanied by an increase in trading volume, a short-term rebound could be triggered, targeting 141.50, with a stop-loss suggested below 139.50; if the price falls below 139.50 (recent support and lower Bollinger Band) accompanied by an expansion of the MACD negative bars, it may accelerate the decline towards the 138.50 area, with a stop-loss set above 140.30. A MACD golden cross or an increase in trading volume will become key confirmation signals for trends.
Overall judgment suggests a bullish probability of 55% and a bearish probability of 45%. It is recommended that short-term traders pay close attention to price breakouts at 140.30 and 139.50, and validate these with trading volume to avoid opening positions blindly within the consolidation range. It is advisable to trade with light positions, set stop-losses, prioritize strict risk control, and assess market sentiment in conjunction with BTC/ETH correlated movements.