14:17
In the next hour (April 21, 2025, 16:15 to 17:15), BTC/USDT is expected to fluctuate within the range of 87200–87700, with a slightly bullish short-term direction but weak trend momentum. Current technical indicators (RSI around 45–50, MACD with a slight death cross, volume below average) indicate that the market is in a low volatility consolidation phase, with a stalemate between bulls and bears, lacking clear breakout signals.
If the price breaks above 87700 (upper Bollinger band) with increased volume, it may trigger a short-term rally, targeting 88200, with a stop loss set at 87400; if it falls below 87200 (lower Bollinger band) accompanied by an expanding negative MACD histogram, it may further decline to the 86800 area, with a stop loss set at 87500. Volume will be a key confirmation condition for determining the authenticity of the breakout.
Overall, the bullish probability is 55%, and the bearish probability is 45%. Short-term traders can wait for a breakout at the key range edges before following the trend, avoiding chasing highs and lows during the current consolidation. The operation suggests testing with a light position and combining the strength and weakness of BTC and ETH for auxiliary judgment, with risk control remaining a priority, and stop-loss execution must be resolute.