16:17
In the next hour (from April 21, 2025, 16:15 to 17:15), ETH/USDT is expected to fluctuate between 1641.00 and 1650.00, with short-term direction remaining unclear. Current technical indicators (RSI around 45.67, MACD histogram negative, trading volume continuing to be sluggish) show that bears have a slight advantage, but downward momentum has not fully materialized, and the overall market shows a weak oscillation pattern.
If the price breaks above 1646.75 (Bollinger Band middle line) with significant volume, a short-term rebound may occur, targeting 1653.67, with a stop loss at 1643.38; if it falls below 1643.38 (Bollinger Band lower line) and the MACD negative bars continue to expand, it may further test the 1641.00 or even 1638.00 area, with a stop loss at 1646.75. Whether the trading volume increases will be key to verifying the effectiveness of the market breakout.
Overall judgment suggests a bearish probability of 50% and a bullish probability of 40%. Short-term traders should pay attention to the breakout situation at the two key levels of 1643.38 and 1646.75, and it is advisable to remain cautious until the breakout is confirmed. It is recommended to participate with a light position, strengthen judgment based on BTC's correlated movements, strictly enforce stop losses and take profits, and manage risk exposure well.