Federal Reserve's 'Clear Hawk, Hidden Dove' Conceals a Killer Move: Is the 92% Rate Hike Probability Hiding a Major Bull-Bear Flip Point?
Latest News
At 3 AM, the Federal Reserve suddenly launched a surprise attack: the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in July surged to 92%, but Powell personally admitted that 'the possibility of an economic soft landing has decreased.'
This 'Clear Hawk, Hidden Dove' directly smashed U.S. Treasury yields into a deep pit, and the USDT premium instantly surged to 3%—large funds are frantically grabbing positions in risk-averse channels!
Grayscale GBTC's negative premium has narrowed to 26.7%: the best data in nearly six months, with on-chain monitoring detecting a mysterious address increasing its holdings by 12,000 BTC for three consecutive days.
Combined with the updated progress on BlackRock's spot ETF application, institutional bottom cards are beginning to surface.
New regulations from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission have taken effect: starting today at 9 AM, retail investors are officially allowed to trade BTC futures, reopening the gates for Asian capital.
However, the U.S. SEC simultaneously warns of 'increased regulation of crypto platforms,' indicating a clear policy hedging pattern.
Market Analysis
The current 1-hour candlestick chart has formed a 'Three Peaks and a Domed House' pattern.
Trading Strategy
My exclusive market interpretation: currently, we are in a 'news-driven + technically-driven' market, with three key levels hiding the main force's traps.
The current market resembles a Texas Hold'em final table, with the Federal Reserve as the dealer, institutions as professional players, and retail investors as the fat fish at the table.
Remember two survival rules:
1) Never go All-in on good news
2) Wait for three candlesticks to confirm a breakout.
Tonight at 20:30, there is a U.S. core PCE data bomb, opportunities are fleeting, a pullback is imminent, time to accumulate spot positions, and altcoins are waiting for you to reap huge profits! Doubling your investment is not a dream, click on my avatar to follow me, and let's join the bull market feast together!
