🔥🔥🔥 The madman from the river is dropping bombs

1. Unlocking the storm: 40 million TRUMP tokens about to be released

1. Key dates:

• April 18: 40 million tokens (20% of total circulation) released at once, valued at approximately $321 million.

• Follow-up: $3.8 million unlocked daily over the next three years, fully unlocked by April 2028.

2. Impact:

• Circulation increases by 20%, insiders (Trump's team) take 80% of the tokens, and continue to funnel money into their wallets daily.

2. Bull vs Bear: Will it fall or rise?

Bearish reasons

1. Explosion of selling pressure: 40 million tokens dropping could cause a price crash.

2. Insiders cashing out: Trump's team's wallet will receive millions of dollars; will they sell?

3. Retail investors retreating: The number of holding addresses dropped from 800,000 to 637,000, confidence has crumbled.

Bullish reasons

1. Big money bottom fishing: On April 16, someone spent $5 million to buy 630,000 tokens, betting on a rebound.

2. Trump causing a stir: Rumors suggest he wants to start a real estate crypto project, which could drive prices up.

3. Institutions supporting the market: Institutions like Wintermute are market-making, potentially raising prices.

3. Historical cases: Two outcomes after meme coin unlocks

1. OM token goes to zero: Crashes 90% after unlocking, completely dead.

2. SHIB's comeback: The community burns tokens and builds ecology, price rebounds by 300%.

4. Conclusion: Short-term danger, long-term outlook

1. Short-term: The release of 40 million tokens could lead to a price crash; retail investors should run.

2. Long-term: Salvation relies on Trump's policies or ecological innovations (like DeFi, NFTs).

3. Operational advice:

• Risk-averse: Don’t touch it.

• Bold: If it drops below $7, take a small position to bet on a rebound, but set stop-loss limits quickly.

• Long-term holding: Keep an eye on Trump and community actions, adjust as needed.

In summary:

The release of TRUMP tokens is a “life-and-death situation” for meme coins; short-term focuses on selling pressure, while long-term depends on whether Trump and the ecology can save it.

(Risk warning: Pure analysis, not investment advice; invest with caution!)

🔥 Points of concern: Will Trump support the market? Can the community save itself?