Through the four-hour cycle chart of Bitcoin, it is not difficult to find that the market maker is like the undefeated East, with an endless supply of needles! When trading short-term, if you're not careful, you can easily be caught in a 'needle' market.
When the market trend is unclear or influenced by international news, the market can behave like a fish in muddy water, darting around wildly in the short term. However, the fish is still in that muddy water, just as you can find the right trading range, regardless of how Bitcoin rises or falls; it still remains within the market you predicted.
Trading is simply a game of odds, using various means to navigate the ups and downs; everything you do is just about increasing your probability of winning, nothing too complicated, but doing it well is really difficult. It requires sufficient trading experience, combined with your own trading style, to gradually summarize a trading system that suits you. However, this is just the beginning; the hardest part is strictly executing your trading system. Overcoming human nature is the dividing line that separates people!
Since predicting Bitcoin's range fluctuations last month, coupled with recent tariff issues, the market has become even more uncertain. Therefore, I can only play along with the trend, primarily adopting a strategy of grid trading.
Looking at the chart below, it becomes clear that regardless of market fluctuations and 'needles,' viewing from the perspective of range fluctuations actually increases the profits from grid trading. Both grid trading strategies and contract trading strategies should essentially not deviate from your own trading system during operation. I consistently use the three-in-one-out rule, meaning I split my funds into three parts when entering the market, and upon exiting, whether it's a take profit or a stop loss, I almost clear everything at once.
The reason for this approach is to increase my trading margin for error; the downside is that in favorable market conditions, I may earn a bit less. However, for long-term trading, this isn't much of an issue. After all, for ordinary traders, sustainable and stable trading profits are the core; there's no need to get caught up in momentary windfalls or losses.
According to previous trend analysis, Bitcoin will need some time to break away from the range fluctuations, basically until May-June. During this time, I will continue to think in terms of shorting at highs and longing at lows, until a trend change occurs. Just wait patiently, and once the signal appears, I will release it immediately. $BTC $ETH $SOL
