Summary:

As of April 2025, users on Polymarket predict a 52% chance that the U.S. will establish a Bitcoin reserve by the end of the year. This optimism is fueled by:

President Trump's re-election and a pro-crypto executive order to enhance leadership in digital financial tech.

The introduction of the BITCOIN Act, proposing the U.S. acquire up to 1 million BTC over five years.

While confidence has grown, concerns remain over Bitcoin's volatility and the complexity of managing such a reserve.

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