🌹🌹🌹2025.4.18 Friday | Market Analysis:

1. Today's Key Market Data

1. BTC (Bitcoin)

• 4-hour K-line Resistance Level: 85,487～86,894

• 4-hour K-line Support Level: 83,256～81,666

• Trend for periods under 12 hours: Multi-period resonance bullish trend, short-term buy on dips.

2. ETH (Ethereum)

• 4-hour K-line Resistance Level: 1,619～1,683

• 4-hour K-line Support Level: 1,540～1,486

1. Core Views on BTC

• Sideways Fluctuation: The 4-hour K-line is rising with low volume within a box pattern; be cautious of resistance levels above (85,487～86,894), and avoid chasing highs.

2. Core Views on ETH

• Linked to BTC: The trend is highly correlated with BTC, with the 4-hour K-line support level (1,540～1,486) being a key point of bullish and bearish contention; if it breaks down, be aware of downward risks.

1. Contract Trading

• Long Position Ambush Point: Lightly go long when BTC retraces to 83,256～81,666 and ETH retraces to 1,540～1,486, setting a stop-loss of 3%-5%.

• Short Position Risk: The current bullish trend prevails; shorts should be cautious and only consider shorting after breaking resistance levels (e.g., BTC breaking 86,894).

Risk Management

• Stop-Loss Strategy: Strict stop-loss for contract trading; for spot trading, it is recommended to build positions in batches to avoid heavy single-position weight.

• Unwinding Techniques: If trapped, you can refer to the 'Three Unwinding Methods' (averaging down, swing trading, stop-loss after trend reversal).

------

4. Market Sentiment and Risk Alerts

1. Macroeconomic Factors

• The Federal Reserve's statement of “no interest rate cuts” continues to suppress market risk appetite; be wary of black swan events (e.g., escalation of Trump's tariff policies).

• Institutional Funds: BlackRock ETF IBIT net inflow slows down, Grayscale GBTC continues net outflow, resulting in a divergence in institutional fund flows.

• Mid-line Layout: Gradually build positions near 82,541 for BTC, targeting around 88,000～90,000.

Key Level Diagram:

BTC:

Resistance Level: 85,487～86,894 ⬆️

Support Level: 83,256～81,666 ⬇️

ETH:

Resistance Level: 1,619～1,683 ⬆️

Support Level: 1,540～1,486 ⬇️

Operation Motto:

Do not chase highs in a bullish trend, dare to go long on support during retracements;

Take profit before resistance levels, stop-loss on reversal after breaking through!