📉 [BTC ANALYSIS – SCENARIO 16/4 - 21/4]

I quickly share my personal perspective on the movements of BTC in the coming days – especially from 16–21/4. This is the scenario I am monitoring, not investment advice, so please consider carefully before acting.

🔹 Date 17–18/4: Sideways Movement

BTC is likely to continue sideways around the range of 83k – 86k, moving in a narrow band, creating a feeling of "not going up – not going down".

There may be 1–2 slight pushes up to the 85k8 range before being sold off again.

Weak volume, market sentiment can easily lull.

This phase can easily make many people complacent, entering trades without clear direction.

🔻 Date 19–21/4: Weekend Crash

This is the “climax” of the scenario.

Friday night (19/4): BTC begins to slowly drop, breaking the support level of 83k, testing down to 80k.

Saturday morning – afternoon: The official crash occurs, BTC plunging down to the 78k range – a strong support level that has held price in the past.

This situation may include:

Strong stop-hunting.

A large number of long positions being liquidated.

FOMO emotions reversing very quickly.

📊 Regarding Technicals:

The 78k–79.5k range is a potential support area + order block + important fibo level.

If this area holds, I expect the market could bounce back early next week (from 22/4 onwards).

This is also a zone where many whales will be looking to accumulate, so if the weekend crash occurs – I see it as an opportunity, not a panic.

Market sentiment at that time:

Newcomers: “Oh no, altseason must be delayed…”

Experienced traders: “A drop is to buy, I’ll come back next week!”

✍️ Do you find this scenario reasonable? Leave your comments below!