📌 Forecast implementation period: 6–24 hours
🧠 0. Fear and Greed Index
• Current value: 38 - 🟠 Fear
📌 Market sentiment is improving compared to last week. The growth of the indicator reflects a recovery of interest, but participants are not yet daring to make active purchases.
🧭 1. Total Market Capitalization (3H)
• Current value: $2.67T
• EMA levels:
• EMA 20: $2.64T
• EMA 50: $2.61T
• EMA 100: $2.60T
• EMA 200: $2.64T
• RSI: 58.08 - non-overbought zone
• Volume: 151.67B - average but stable
📌 Conclusion:
Capitalization has consolidated above all EMAs, including EMA 200 and EMA 100. This is a signal of the beginning of the recovery phase, but RSI is approaching the "ceiling" → potential for short-term profit taking.
💵 2. USDT Domination (USDT.D, 3H)
• Current value: 5.41%
• EMA levels:
• EMA 20: 5.46%
• EMA 50: 5.53%
• EMA 100: 5.54%
• EMA 200: 5.47%
• RSI: 41.98 - closer to the oversold zone
• Volume: 127.18B - below average
📌 Conclusion:
A steady decline below all moving averages. This is a bullish signal - capital is leaving stablecoins and returning to altcoins and BTC.
📊 3. FORECASTING THE PROBABILITIES OF MARKET MOVEMENT
Scenario Probability Comment
📈 Growth 55% Confident consolidation above EMA 100/200 + USDT.D weakness
📊 Sideways 35% RSI at the upper border, consolidation is possible
📉 Drop 10% Strong external negativity required
🔻 4. Support and resistance levels (3H)
Type Level
🔻 Support $2.64T (EMA 200), $2.60T (EMA 100), $2.55T
🔺 Resistance $2.71T, $2.76T
📈 5. FORECAST BY RANGE
Scenario Range of change
📉 Fall to -2.6% → $2.60T
📈 Growth up to +3.3% → $2.76T
📊 Sideway ±1.0% → $2.64T–$2.71T
🧠 6. SMART MONEY ANALYSIS
Coin Direction Volume Forecast
#STETH 🔼 $55.8M inflow 📈 Up to +7.5%
#NEXO 🔼 $12.3M Inflow 📈 Up to +9.6%
#MX 🔼 $6.1M inflow 📈 Up to +6.8%
#ETH 🔽 Outflow $58.1M 📉 Profit taking likely
#LINK 🔽 Outflow $1.14M ⚖️ Consolidation
#FET 🔽 Outflow $483K ⚠️ Local weakening of interest
📌 RESULT:
• 📈 The market has confidently emerged from the fear phase, but has not yet reached optimism
• 💹 EMA 100 = $2.60T — key support level, above which the upward vector remains
• 💸 Inflows to #STETH and #nexo are increasing - short-term targets within 5-10%
• ⚠️ Potential for a rollback at #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 — likely fixation amid growth
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