IMPORTANT POST ABOUT GROWTH
(FED)
- tariffs are one of the biggest shocks to the US economy in decades
- the risk of recession outweighs the risk of inflation
- with the further increase in the risk of recession, it is preferable to start lowering the rate faster
Let me explain simply.
The risk of recession for them exceeds the risk of inflation. This means that turning on the printing press and printing dollars is not such a scary and possibly even necessary measure in this case. $TON
It sounds like diving into a recession now is much scarier.
Although we are already in it 😉 But let's put that aside for now.
Therefore, the Fed is considering measures for easing, and future inflation will be aligned with an expensive market 🤷🏻♂️
On the S&P 500, we essentially have a ready formation for a decline after the bounce that we are already observing today.
That is, it is most likely that we will set a bottom in May or June, then we will turn around and go up. For now, that’s the timing.
I think there will be a better time for medium-term purchases.
Now they might let everyone buy and then finally dump again.
So be careful and don't be surprised by anything. Patience is important in the market.
