$ETHUSDT Bearish downtrend Analysis:
$ETH
Let' analyse ETHUSDT:
Ethereum has been consistently respecting a strong descending channel and 21-day EMA since its peak earlier this year. Each lower high has led to a significant drop, creating a pattern of bearish rallies followed by sharp corrections. Let’s break it down:
Bearish Wave Structure:
ETH has seen four major drops off this trendline:
-28.55%
-34.03%
-30.56%
Each time price approached the trendline, it faced heavy resistance, leading to these sharp declines — forming a repeating structure of lower highs and lower lows.
Current Setup:
ETH is now again testing the descending channel and 21 day EMA, mirroring previous price behavior. This is a key decision point.
Technical Observations:
Price is approaching horizontal resistance, 21D EMA, and the channel upper line.
Rejections from this area have historically triggered steep drops.
The downtrend remains intact unless a clean breakout occurs.
What to Watch For:
Rejection Zone: ~$1,750–$1,730 (previous horizontal rejection zones + channel).
Confirmation of Breakout: Daily close outside channel and above 21D EMA with follow-through volume.
Breakdown: Failure to break and bearish engulfing near resistance could signal another wave down.
Conclusion:
ETH is at a critical resistance confluence. While a breakout would be a significant technical shift, the current trend favors caution. Watch closely for confirmation signals before positioning.
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