Overview of BTC after meals.

Key Point 1: The main force of Bitcoin has been slowly injecting funds recently, and the market is steadily rising.

The bullish trend of the KDJ and RSI on the 4-hour and 8-hour charts is slightly stronger than the bearish trend, with a KDJ golden cross on the 4-hour chart, but there is a top divergence on the 4-hour chart, and the volume did not keep up, but we are still waiting for a new high.

The consensus on the bottom of the previous high of 887 is in the 862–868 range, so if BTC closes above 852 on the 4-hour chart this evening, there is a high probability of a push upward later at night. Thus, the top divergence on the 4-hour chart is established, and one can consider a short position.

There are only a little over a thousand points from 852 to 868, at most reaching 885, which is 3000 points. If it goes down from 868, at least 825 is expected, which is 4000 points.

Whether to take the risk depends on the individual; if you have a long position below 80,000, it is recommended to reduce the position when it reaches this level. Whether to short also depends on personal choice.

The prerequisite is a 4-hour closing price above 852; if it hits 857 and drops directly, we will observe whether it will stop falling at 846. Short positions can still be set in the 863–868 range, with a stop-loss at 872.

Key Point 2: Ethereum is strengthening, but the volume and price on the 4-hour chart are average. If Bitcoin tests 866, it is not recommended to short below 1700 for Ethereum.

Due to a large amount of chips in the 1750–1816 range previously, from a time structure perspective, there is a higher likelihood that Ethereum is experiencing a bull trap.

It is more appropriate to short in the 1729–1750 range, with a stop-loss below 1 point. Target 1 is to look at 1669, and Target 2 is around 1500.

According to past conventions, if SOL is generally stronger than Bitcoin, it usually indicates trouble. If Bitcoin is strong and SOL does not follow suit and is weak, it indicates that the whales are withdrawing funds.

Key Point 3: The weak rebound in the US stock market is due to investors and institutions being cautious due to tariffs, and they have already seen that the US economy is accelerating into recession, so they are unwilling to actively participate in the US stock market's capital pool. With such a severe drop, it is impossible for the US stock market to rebound sharply; if this happens, the long-term top divergence will be established, and the bull market will be completely over.

Key Point 4: Beware of Trump not doing personnel matters. Friends with the ability can keep an eye on the financial movements of the Trump family. Last time, they sold Ethereum before the news, shorting the market to harvest retail investors.

Alright, that's all for now.