One, Cryptocurrency Market Quick Pass
1. Altcoin Market
Affected by the OM collapse, today's altcoin market share plummeted; BTC remains strong while most altcoins are dropping.
2. Total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies
The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has completed a breakout and retest of the downtrend line, with good upward momentum.
3. Liquidation Heatmap
Now from the weekly heatmap view, BTC is likely to spike up after the US stock market opens, then fall back.
4. Fear and Greed Index
Fear and Greed Index at 29, down slightly from yesterday.
Two, Cryptocurrency News Quick Pass
1. Before the OM collapse, at least 17 wallets deposited 43.6 million OM into exchanges, accounting for 4.5% of the circulating supply.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, before the OM collapse, at least 17 wallets deposited 43.6 million OM (then worth 227 million dollars) into exchanges, accounting for 4.5% of the circulating supply. According to Arkham's tagging, two of these addresses are associated with Laser Digital, which is a strategic investor in MANTRA.
2. The top five FARTCOIN addresses have achieved over 8.9 million dollars in profit in total.
According to Nansen's monitoring, the top five FARTCOIN addresses have collectively realized over 8.9 million dollars in profit, with one address gaining 1.88 million dollars and has already liquidated. Another address is still holding unrealized gains worth 4.15 million dollars.
3. Bitcoin spot ETF had a net outflow of 713 million dollars last week, with BlackRock's IBIT leading at 342 million dollars; Ethereum spot ETF had a net outflow of 824.7 million dollars last week, marking seven consecutive weeks of outflows.
4. US-listed company Janover increased its holdings by 44,158 SOL, bringing total holdings to 83,084 SOL.
US-listed company Janover Inc. announced on April 11 that it has purchased 44,158 Solana (SOL) worth about 5 million dollars. This purchase brings Janover's total holdings of Solana to 83,084, valued at approximately 9.6 million dollars.
5. A certain whale/institution withdrew 15,953 ETH from OKX today, worth 26.16 million dollars.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain mysterious whale/institution has accumulated 15,953 ETH (worth 2.616 million dollars). 11 hours ago, 6 wallets (likely belonging to the same whale) withdrew 15,953 ETH (worth 2.616 million dollars) from OKX and deposited it into Aave. They then borrowed 15.4 million USDT from Aave and deposited it into OKX.
6. A certain whale deposited 20,000 ETH into Kraken, still holding 30,874 ETH.
According to Spot On Chain's monitoring, a certain whale just deposited 20,000 ETH (worth 32.4 million dollars) into Kraken. This whale currently still holds 30,874 ETH (worth 50.7 million dollars), with total unrealized gains of 104 million dollars (+52.4%).
Three, Hot Coin Quick Pass
1. OM
2. QUBIC
3. ONDO
4. SOL
5. FARTCOIN
6. RFC
7. SUI
8. PROMPT
9. ETH
10. WAL
11. LUNC
12. PI
13. HYPE
14. XRP
15. CHEX
Four, Cryptocurrency Blogger Quick Pass
1. Top trader Dove
Dove said the day before yesterday:
When Bitcoin breaks through 83.5K, I made a small position short on ETH, SOL, and XRP. Unless the Federal Reserve directly intervenes or US-China tariffs are appropriately downgraded, I do not expect the market to have much continuation.
Then updated that afternoon:
Cut losses and exit - controlling risk losses at 2%, but the market shows significant strength, threatening to regain key levels (SOL's 125). I will continue to observe from a bystander’s perspective.
(Dove believes the tariff contradictions are not fully resolved yet, and this rebound cannot turn into a reversal in the short term; the market will not directly break out, so he attempted to take several short positions, but the market performance exceeded Dove's expectations, leading him to stop loss in the afternoon.)
2. Trader Vivian
Vivian updated this morning, Beijing time:
If the daily closing price is below the last monthly closing price, then Monday is likely to have a false breakout market, breaking through 85K+, followed by a crazy drop, and we will return to square one.
Plan for short-term traders:
Seize two short entry opportunities at 85-86K.
Plan for spot investors:
Taking 80% profits on the current spot position, the market price will not return to your entry point, but we will get close to it.
We don't want to lose the profits we have gained; let's take some profits out first and buy back when BTC is at 76-78K or the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is at 2.22T.
Plan for scalp traders:
On Monday, Eastern Time, we will do some scalping long positions, then switch to swing trading, waiting for the market to drop.
The most likely scenario is a large bearish candle appearing in the range of 84.5-86K.
No matter what news comes next week, it actually won't have a big impact.
What we need to know is that on Monday, we should take profits on short leveraged trades, including 3x leveraged trades.
Take some profits on the spot and free up funds to buy again.
76K is a solid buying point. This is the confirmation entry point; don't hesitate anymore.
To repeat, CRV, XLM, and HBAR will outperform all other coins.
Don't panic next week; it's all expected. Don't hastily exit the market now. On Monday, we might see some altcoins rise 10-20% first, before starting to drop. I am particularly optimistic about Popcat long positions; they look very stable.
(Vivian believes that after the US stock market opens on Monday, BTC will drop after a false breakout; she suggests taking profits on leveraged contracts and 80% profits on spot, waiting to buy back at lower points. She reminds again today not to touch coins like OM; it's very dangerous.)
3. Top trader Joshua
He updated last night:
The market looks a bit heavy.
Taking Bitcoin as a standard, I will focus on the range of 80K to 82K.
The current narrative should be AI on-chain:
Starting with FARTCOIN, WAYFINDER is listed on Kobe, ALCH, ARC; positions with spot can pay attention to these. Griffain and Zerbro can also be considered projects worth watching.
In the on-chain market, meme coins are to focus on POPcat (recently listed on Coinbase).
(Joshua believes BTC will drop to 80K-82K, and he suggests focusing on AI concept tokens, listing some coins for everyone to check out.)
4. Top trader Altcoin Sherpa
He updated this morning:
$BTC in the coming months, if I see fluctuations between 90K and 75K, I wouldn't be surprised at all; the points might have some ups and downs.
To be honest, I really have no idea in the short term. I still think we will first rise to around 89-91K, then see how to proceed. I still plan to go long before that. However, I will be very cautious when $BTC reaches that area.
(Sherpa believes BTC will first rise to 90K, then drop to 75K to complete three bottom tests.)
5. Top trader DonAlt
He updated last night:
BTC monthly chart is starting to show a circular trend (arc bottom); if Trump cancels a few tariffs again, the market will continue to rise.
(He believes BTC's monthly chart shows signs of bottoming, and if Trump continues to make concessions on tariffs, the market will continue to rise.)
6. Wave Theory Liu Yudong
April 14, 2025 Daily Chart
Last week it was stated that 'hold on and exceed 83588 to continue rebounding,' which has been realized. The rise from 74508 has progressed in 5 segments, marking a good start. After the pullback, there may be one or even two more rises at the same level as the blue line. If the pullback is below 79476, a higher rebound may be possible in the future, but if the pullback is above 79476, the rebound later will not be too high.
(Liu Yudong believes there will be a pullback soon, with a pullback observation point at 79476, and after the pullback, it will still rise.)
Five, Summary
The market this weekend is mainly bullish; currently, BTC price is near the downtrend line of the past few months. It's hard to determine if this breakout is real or false.
Currently, Dove, Vivian, Joshua, Liu Yudong, and other big shots all believe that a pullback is coming; Vivian directly suggested liquidating long contracts and taking 80% profits on spot. Currently, BTC is at a resistance level, and if this is a true breakout, there will also be a trend to retest the trend line. Taking profits is reasonable; trying to short is also fine, but chasing longs is not appropriate.
Now take profits on last week's bottom-fishing positions; don't worry about missing out on selling high, as the market will not start a one-sided bull market for a while. In the future, it will still be a volatile market. You can first take profits to free up some funds to flexibly respond to the upcoming market conditions.
From a metaphysical perspective, today is a full moon; whenever there is a new moon or full moon, the market tends to experience violent fluctuations. Last year, on April 14, Eastern Time, there was a 10.8% drop in BTC in a single day. Tonight everyone should stay alert and defend.
Statement:
The above information is for reference only and is not trading advice. The cryptocurrency market is high risk; participation requires caution.
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