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#CPI&JoblessClaimsWatch : Why Is This Data Important for Traders & Investors?
Every week, financial markets react to two important economic data points: Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Jobless Claims. Both provide a direct picture of the economic conditions in the United States and can trigger significant volatility in the stock, bond, and forex markets.
What Is CPI?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average change in prices of goods and services consumed by households. In other words, it is a key indicator of inflation. An increase in CPI indicates rising inflation—which often prompts the Federal Reserve to consider raising interest rates.
Why is it important?
A high CPI could mean that interest rates will rise, which could put pressure on stock prices.
A low CPI indicates controlled inflation, which tends to be favored by the market.
What Is Jobless Claims?
Initial Jobless Claims is the number of new unemployment claims filed in a week. This data reflects the labor market conditions in real-time. If claims rise, it could be a sign of economic slowdown. Conversely, low claims indicate economic strength.
Why is it important?
High claims can lower expectations for interest rates and signal recession risks.
Low claims indicate that the economy remains strong, providing a boost to the market.