#CPI&JoblessClaimsWatch

1. CPI (Consumer Price Index):

March 2025 CPI dipped 0.1% month-over-month.

Year-over-year inflation is at 2.4%, pointing to a continued cooling trend.

Core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.1% in March, with a 2.8% annual rate — still sticky, but not accelerating.

2. Jobless Claims:

Initial claims increased by 4,000 to 223,000 last week.

Despite the uptick, claims remain historically low, highlighting a resilient labor market.

This marks the sixth consecutive week with claims under 226,000.

Bottom line: Inflation is easing, and the labor market remains solid — keeping recession concerns at bay for now.

Curious how this might impact markets, rates, or the Fed’s next move?