#CPI&JoblessClaimsWatch

Quick Update: March 2025 US CPI & Jobless Claims

Consumer Price Index (CPI):

CPI dipped 0.1% month-over-month in March.

Annual inflation now sits at 2.4%, pointing to a steady cooling trend.

Core CPI (excluding food and energy) inched up 0.1% for the month, with a year-over-year rate of 2.8%—indicating that underlying inflation is persistent but not picking up pace.

Jobless Claims:

Initial jobless claims increased slightly by 4,000 to 223,000 last week.

Despite the uptick, claims remain near historic lows, underscoring labor market strength.

This marks the sixth straight week with claims under 226,000.

Takeaway:

Inflation is easing bit by bit, and the job market remains robust—helping to keep recession fears in check for now.

Wondering how this could impact markets, interest rates, or the Fed’s next move? Let’s explore.