#特朗普暂停新关税 Today's Ethereum Market Analysis!
Trump's Tariff Policy: The VIX index has risen to 29, the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has dropped to -0.84, the volatility ratio of gold/Bitcoin has reached a three-year high, and risk aversion sentiment is increasing.
Whale Movements: A sleeping whale for three years has transferred 1,000 ETH to Binance, and an original whale sold 9,514 ETH at an average price of $1,475, marking the first sale in the past 10 years.
Exchange Dynamics: The holdings of whale addresses (>100,000 ETH) have decreased to 36.8%, with a net inflow of 120,000 ETH to exchanges in a single day, indicating that short-term selling pressure has not been fully released.
Ethereum ETF saw a net outflow of $6.8 million in a single day, with Grayscale's holdings down 4.7%, and institutional funds continue to tilt towards Bitcoin.
MACD Indicator: The daily MACD has shown a bullish divergence, but the DIF and DEA death cross has not been repaired, and the KDJ indicator remains oversold, with short-term rebound momentum exhausted.
Shorting Opportunity: If the price rebounds to $1,600-$1,630 and the 4-hour Bollinger Band narrows, consider shorting with a target of $1,450 and a stop-loss at $1,650.
Oversold Rebound: If it touches $1,380 and a bottom divergence appears on the 1-hour level, consider light long positions with a target of $1,550.
Support Level: $1,450 (breaking this may trigger liquidation of staking positions).
Resistance Level: $1,650-$1,750 (strong resistance from $240 million in options accumulates above).
Shendan continues to lay out...
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