#特朗普暂停新关税

The Trump administration announced a suspension of certain new tariffs on China, reflecting multiple considerations. First, the pressure of the political cycle nearing the election is highlighted; suspending tariffs can alleviate the economic pressure faced by agricultural states and manufacturing voters due to the trade war, aiming for votes in swing states. Second, the implementation of the first phase of the China-U.S. trade agreement has entered a critical period; delaying tariff increases can serve as a compliance gesture and reserve leverage for subsequent negotiations. From an economic perspective, U.S. retailers and importers are facing increased inventory pressure due to the impact of the pandemic, and postponing tariffs helps stabilize the supply chain. However, this move is essentially a tactical adjustment, with clear characteristics of its 'art of deal'—maintaining negotiation leverage through tariff deterrence while creating a space for easing through policy flexibility. In the long term, the fundamental tone of U.S. strategic competition with China remains unchanged, with technological blockades and industrial decoupling continuing to advance. This 'negotiating while fighting' strategy may continue to shape the 'new normal' of China-U.S. economic and trade relations.