Decision traps often originate from cognitive misjudgments and data distortion. Some investors mistakenly regard the historical highest price as the target price, neglecting the resistance strength formed by the distribution of chips. For example, there is a stronghold of 18% of the total circulation at prices above $120 for SOL. Simply setting return space based on historical peaks will severely overestimate the actual probability. Other users overly rely on technical pattern breakout signals, failing to recognize the false breakout risks triggered by large on-chain transfers. The case of ADA's three failed head and shoulders formations in 2023 shows that relying solely on chart calculations for risk-reward ratios can decrease the stability of strategies by 37%.