Decision traps often arise from cognitive misjudgment and data distortion. Some investors mistakenly regard the historical highest price as the target price, ignoring the strength of resistance formed by the distribution of shares. For example, there is a trapped position above $120 for SOL, which accounts for 18% of the total circulation. Simply setting return space based on historical highs will severely overestimate the actual probability. Other users overly rely on technical breakout signals, failing to recognize the false breakout risks caused by large on-chain transfers. The 2023 ADA case of three failed head-and-shoulders formations shows that relying solely on chart calculations for risk-reward ratios can reduce strategy stability by 37%.